Top forecasters ranked by Brier Score accuracy. Updated in real-time.
📐 How Scoring Works
Score = 100 × (1 − (forecast − outcome)²)
We use the Brier Score, the gold standard for measuring forecast accuracy. Your forecast is a probability (0%–100%) and the outcome is either 0 (didn't happen) or 1 (happened).
Great ForecastYou said 90% → It happened → Score: 99 pts
UncertainYou said 50% → It happened → Score: 75 pts
Wrong CallYou said 10% → It happened → Score: 19 pts
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The Vault
An exclusive zone for elite forecasters who have accumulated $1,000,000 in lifetime earnings.
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